Time to Move Highway 12 in NC, don’t ‘cha Think?

Parts of the iconic Highway 12 through the Outer Banks of North Carolina need to be replaced after Hurricane Matthew. Just like parts that needed to be replaced from the previous storm, and the one before that. When coastal geologists tell you this is going to keep happening (in case the stark reality of it is not enough for you) – why wouldn’t you move this road? The Virginia Pilot’s Jeff Hampton talks about the cost of it all in this article. 

Henk Ovink Has Nothing on Marit Noest

Readers of these pages will recognize the Netherland’s Henk Ovink. He is the Dutchman who came to the US after Sandy to share his country’s expertise in resilient designs for living with and staying safe from flooding.

He was also profiled in the NY Times Magazine around the time of the Rebuild by Design Competition that he led.

But a Dutch graduate student in landscape architecture may be giving him a run for his money. Marit Noest came to NJ two years after Sandy and after completely un-learning the Dutch way of doing things, she successfully wrapped her head around the American approach to the situation. She made a film called At the Edge for her graduate thesis which incorporates people’s attitudes towards rebuilding and using and enjoying the shore. She also made a terrific design for a stronger Asbury Park beachfront that lets people enjoy what the shore has to offer while making it much more resilient.

Trailer of the film here.  And a presentation of Marit’s thesis plus the film here

We encourage you to fully explore everything about the project here. https://creatingattheedge.wordpress.com/

achtergrond sleeve dvd doos

Nature-Based Resiliency via Oysters

Staten Island Using Oyster Reefs to Protect From Storms

One of the winners of the Rebuild-by-Design competition is a plan to protect the South Shore of Staten Island with reefs of oysters. Full story, map and diagram here.

Oysters used to be abundant in NY and NJ waters and the oyster industry literally built many of the cities in the region. Oysters provide an additional benefit of filtering the water they live in, thereby cleaning it. Unfortunately, pollution and runoff exceeded the oysters’ ability to clean the water in which they lived, and oysters and their reefs died off.

Connecting the Dots, Sandy, Development, HUD Grant, Jonas

Just before the big weekend winter storm Jonas which brought heavy snowfall and severe coastal flooding to southern coastal NJ, HUD announced the grant awards through the National Disaster Resilience Competition. And the biggest losers was…the State of NJ. That’s right, the state that was hit the hardest by Sandy got the least. But let’s unpack this a little. We are certainly not in the “sour grapes” camp who think this is political and people don’t like NJ. Not at all. Read about the grant awards here.

The main criticism was the NJ’s application did not leverage these federal funds.  That means that NJ wasn’t putting in any of its own money. What with tax breaks to rich people, a pennies on the dollar settlement with Exxon, who has extra money for things like resiliency to disasters?

But the feds probably also see how any money they give NJ would probably be a bad investment anyway. They see the massive re-write of the rules on development in the coastal zone; the ones that make it easier to develop in the coastal zone, the ones that don’t mention sea level rise or climate change in their 1000 page re-write of those rules. They realize NJ is not serious about resiliency or preventing the next disaster.

The NYC proposal got $176 million as opposed to NJ’s $15 million. But look at what NYC is proposing; a massive flood-wall on the edge of Manhattan that will serve as a park, open space, greenery around an island of concrete. It sounds like a terrific addition to the City even without the flood protection, which it also provides. Whereas NJ’s proposal was to simply start a planning process, develop flood mapping tools and develop a list of best practices. This stuff already exists.



Virginia Cities Planning for Sea Level Rise

A great look forward by these Virginia municipalities to plan for sea level rise. By mapping out what roads are underwater when, they can plan to re-route or re-locate those roads in the future. They can also make changes to storm-water systems, where storm-water goes, etc. It all starts with a map. Jordan Pascale of the Virginian-Pilot tells us more.

But this makes us wonder, why is it OK to relocate a road based on where the water will be in the future, but if you try to relocate a home, it is Un-American?

Rare January Hurricane in the Atlantic

Hurricane season runs from June to November, yet a rare January storm just formed in the Atlantic. This has only happened twice in recorded history, yet in 1955 it was really a storm that formed in late 1954 that lingered into January. The other time this happened was 1938, and you know what else happened in 1938? (Please don’t say Hitler annexed part of Czechoslovakia, please.) January Hurricane news here.

Miami 2015

You know how hundreds of thousands of “snow birds” go to Florida to spend the winter, mostly older Americans? We predict the trend will reverse in the future, and permanently, with millions of people leaving Florida and returning to the cities of origin that are slightly higher above sea level.

The New Yorker has a really good piece with on the ground (albeit soggy) observations from Miami. Predictions of Sea Level Rise are not academic “what-if”, type scenarios. Parts of the city flood regularly on full moons and king tides. Elizabeth Kolbert got her feet wet to bring us this one.

Parametric Insurance in Mexico

Try not to fall asleep while we explain Parametric Insurance, which is used in parts of Mexico. Given that Hurricane Patricia just passed through that country, with surprisingly less damage than expected, let’s get a handle on parametric insurance as a possible tool in our Rethink toolbox.

Weather can be unpredictable as we know, with not-so menacing storms causing way more damage than anyone expected; like the South Carolina rainfall of October, 2015. And then some super-gnarly storms come ashore and it is not as bad as predicted, like Hurricane Patricia in Mexico recently.

But with parametric insurance, a certain event triggers the payout from the insurers, instead of a lengthy assessment of damage afterwards. For hurricanes, the event is typically barometric pressure. If the pressure falls below 920 millibars within a certain distance of a major city like Acapulco, then there is a payout. No insurance adjusters need to be sent out and see how much damage there was. No scenarios where the insurance company argues it was wind and not flood that damaged the property.

It’s a pretty fair system since an area of pressure that low would typically bring about a lot of damage. But the big thing is the speed of the determination and the speed of the payout. It is not necessarily more money from the insurer (like they’d ever go for that), but a quicker payout. The event happened and no one disputes that so insurers pay. That speed can make a huge difference in the recovery of the people on the ground. Considering that after Hurricane Sandy, Congress took three months to approve relief money, and that three years after Sandy some people are still waiting to get back into their homes, any increase in how fast insurance payments are made is worth looking at.

To be clear, these instruments are offered by re-insurers like Swiss Re and Munich Re. The policyholders are parts of the Mexican Government, not individual homeowners. But isn’t it worth exploring here?


The Strongest Hurricane in Recorded History…

…is heading towards Mexico’s Pacific coast. Hurricane Patricia has sustained winds of 200 miles per hour. Unfortunately, this storm will put all previous storms to shame. Thankfully, the population is sparse in this area, so loss of life and property will be much less than if this hit somewhere else.

The point here is to not look backwards, it has never served us well. Don’t think that it can’t happen, or it can’t happen here. It can, and we should prepare for such storms. What previous generations thought could never happen, happened like with Issac’s Storm.